Investment Reports – Long USD/CHF , Short CM (12/18/15)
Updates Portfolio Research Methodology Account Log Out Click here to access our long USD/CHF investment report. Click here to access our short CM investment report.
View ArticlePar Pacific’s Recent Share Offering And Price Decline Doesn’t Make It Any...
It’s been a wild few weeks for Par Pacific Holdings (PARR). After a major move to the upside caused by strong Q3 results, PARR plummeted almost 14% on November 23rd on news of a brand new share...
View ArticleExtremely Important News Just Came Out Of China – Here’s How To Play It
Important market news came out this weekend, and surprisingly (or perhaps not so) it has received little notice. I’m talking about the PBoC’s statement released Friday, signaling that they are looking...
View ArticleThis Bull Market Is Over… Done… Dead: 3 Indicators Pointing Towards Major...
We watch a whole host of macro indicators; they give us a peek under the hood of markets and the global economy. The thing about these indicators is that they are slow moving — they’re not something...
View ArticleEconomic Indicators – ISM and PMI – What Are They?
This is the first installment of our “Economic Indicators” series. The goal with this series is to educate everyone on what the important economic number releases really mean and how they can make you...
View ArticleDrop That Chicken! (BRFS Short)
Brazil’s economic and political climate are toxic for its companies. BRF is closely tied to Brazil’s economy. Where Brazil goes, so does BRF. BRF’s margins are being attacked on all sides which has in...
View ArticleHow Extending Your Investment Timeframe Will Increase Your Returns And Reduce...
3:00 PM – Log into trading account. Check positions. Check balance. Close window. 3:03 PM – Reopen window. Log into account again. Check positions. Check balance. Close window. 3:07 PM – Attempt to...
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Apple: There Will Be No Asian Miracle
Although cash flush, AAPL isn’t exciting investors anymore Its growth story hinges on China, where the macro picture is deteriorating India shows lukewarm demand as well AAPL isn’t innovating like...
View ArticleSingapore Can’t Escape The Asian Currency Wars (Long USD/SGD)
The yuan devaluation will put upward pressure on USD/SGD. The MAS must react to keep their economy from contracting. Singapore is very vulnerable to currency shifts due to a large import/export...
View ArticleShorting Wheat Feels Like A Trap
There are many factors depressing the price of wheat including the general commodity bear market, wheat’s global supply glut, a strong dollar, and good weather. But with overwhelmingly bearish...
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2016 Is Shaping Up to Be a Year of Market Volatility After a Difficult 2015
2016 is shaping up to be a volatile year for financial markets. In order to get an understanding of how major asset classes will perform this year, let’s review their performance in 2015. 2015 was not...
View ArticleStop Listening To Blowhard Oil Bulls
Some investors truly deserve a gold medal. The mental gymnastics they execute to avoid evidence contrary to their beliefs is amazing. Instead of objectively assessing the avalanche of data that runs...
View ArticleConocoPhillips: The Dividend Isn’t Worth The Potential Squeeze
A bet on ConocoPhillips is a leveraged bet on oil. Why there’s a good chance the dividend will be cut. There are safer plays for a dividend investor looking to put money into an E&P. I’ve heard...
View ArticleShort UPS: What Brown Can’t Do For You
Amazon’s potential delivery service is not a significant threat to UPS. The real problem they face is a slowdown in the economy. The faltering economy along with lower oil prices and a stronger dollar...
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Economic Indicators – Retail Sales Report – What Does It Mean?
For the second installment of our Economic Indicators Series, we’ll be reviewing the retail sales number. Sure, it isn’t as fun to talk about as the next 10-bagger, but retail sales offer valuable...
View ArticleLong Bonds: A Safe Haven In Volatile Markets
Long dated US treasuries do well in times of market volatility and provide their best returns during bear markets. US debt is viewed as a safe haven when markets are in turmoil and investors flood...
View ArticleThe Fed Already Tightened 3.25% And Probably Doesn’t Know It
As seen in the Shadow Federal Funds Rate, the effective interest rate was as low as -3% in April of 2014 before the Fed started tightening. The current rate of 0.25% means the Fed has already...
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Expectations Blockage – Short Spectranetics Corp (SPNC)
It’s important to understand how to evaluate a company. But it’s even more important to know how to evaluate other investors. It all comes down to expectations. What is the majority expecting? How can...
View ArticleMLPs: A Great Opportunity In The Near Future, Just Not Yet
Shares of various MLPs have been battered over the last year. It’s a classic case of the baby being thrown out with the bathwater. Attractive MLPs with strong balance sheets have been sold...
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The 4 Horsemen Of The Global Deleveraging Apocalypse Part I : China’s...
This is part 1 of our 4-part series on the global deleveraging which is now beginning and is expected to last over the next 2 to 4 years. We anticipate a lot of pain for the global economy in the form...
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